Climate Donkey

June 23, 2008

British polling shows people lack trust in climate change scientists

A public poll in the UK has found that Britons do not entirely believe the climate change scientists whose research is propelling the government on urgent socioeconomic and political upheaval.

The results have shocked campaigners who hoped that doubts would have been silenced by a report last year by more than 2,500 scientists for the UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which found a 90 per cent chance that humans were the main cause of climate change and warned that drastic action was needed to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

Now consider the NOAA Climate Extremes report that was released late last week. Was this the motivation of that report as well — to overwhelm all doubt and make drastic action a fait accompli?

sw

There is growing concern that an economic depression and rising fuel and food prices are denting public interest in environmental issues. Some environmentalists blame the public’s doubts on last year’s Channel 4 documentary The Great Global Warming Swindle, and on recent books, including one by Lord Lawson, the former Chancellor, that question the consensus on climate change.

Here in the US, 4$ a gallon gasoline has even caused Lindsay Graham’nesty and John McCain and even the venerable Q-Tip Charlie Crist to suggest opening offshore drilling. Apparently the British do not like the price of gas especially with their government’s confiscatory and punitive energy taxes.

Ipsos MORI polled 1,039 adults and found that six out of 10 agreed that ‘many scientific experts still question if humans are contributing to climate change’, and that four out of 10 ‘sometimes think climate change might not be as bad as people say’. In both cases, another 20 per cent were not convinced either way. Despite this, three quarters still professed to be concerned about climate change.

60% think there is still a debate! Al Gore says otherwise, and puts his electricity usage up as evidence. Oops.

Two thirds want the government to do more but nearly as many said they were cynical about government policies such as green taxes, which they see as ‘stealth’ taxes.

Green jobs = Unemployment
Green taxes = clean and environmentally friendly socialism without the guilt

The proponents of AGW know that the public is skeptical and will have to redouble their efforts to scare the crap out of people. The media is complicit and will have to ramp up their coverage of floods, tornadoes, rain, clouds, wind, sunrises, etc.

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June 19, 2008

Shaky Science: AP Hoaxed on Earthquake and Global Warming Study

Filed under: Climate Change,Media and Climate — climatedonkey @ 3:49 am
Tags: , , , ,

Cross post on Climate Audit

It appears the Associated Press needs to do some explaining or at the very least some vetting of its science reporting. Yet, it is a metaphysical certitude, no pun intended, that the story will be parroted regardless of its veracity.

There have been some attempts to link climate change to earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, and other various geophysical phenomena. However considerable uncertainty surrounds potential mechanisms for such linkages as well as whether we can actually perceive or measure such changes. Recently, an obscure online journal publication (NU Journal of Discovery) article has made it into the press through a release by the author Tom Chalko, an Australian geophysicist. Here is a link to the 2-page published article: Chalko 2008 NU Journal of Discovery

The main finding is that earthquakes have become FIVE times more energetic over the past 20 years, a stunning discovery to say the least. A few hyperbolic statements from the press release:

The research proves that destructive ability of earthquakes on Earth increases alarmingly fast and that this trend is set to continue, unless the problem of “global warming” is comprehensively and urgently addressed…global seismic activity was increasing faster than any other global warming indicator on Earth and that this increase is extremely alarming

The pertinent figure describing the “alarming” trend shows the annual earthquake ratio, which is described in the paper. Also, the trend is predicted to grow in the future. A simple perusal of the USGS website would easily expose this paper as a complete pile of rubbish: Common Myths about Earthquakes h/t Jeremy Horpedahl

Although it may seem that we are having more earthquakes, earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or greater have remained fairly constant throughout this century and, according to our records, have actually seemed to decrease in recent years…A partial explanation may lie in the fact that in the last twenty years, we have definitely had an increase in the number of earthquakes we have been able to locate each year. This is because of the tremendous increase in the number of seismograph stations in the world and the many improvements in global communications.

earthquake

If one looks prior to 1970, you see the true nature of earthquake energy.
image

Continuing from the paper:

Results presented in this article indicate that the main danger for humanity on Earth may come not from a slow climate change, but from the rapidly increasing seismic/tectonic activity. In the period of time when the planetary
climate changed by a small fraction of one degree, earthquakes have become 5 times more energetic. How long do we need to wait until someone brings this problem to our awareness?

I have no answer to that question. Thankfully, Chalko provides us with one reference and a hypothesis for this increased tectonic and volcanic activity. NASA researchers (Hansen et al. 2005, Science) state that the Earth absorbs approximately 0.85 +- 0.15 Megawatts per square kilometer than it emits, an imbalance that is causing the Earth to overheat.

Planetary interior overheating is the most serious consequence of so-called “global warming” and constitutes the main danger for humanity on Earth today.

I am unsure about the peer-review standards of this journal, but my guess is that it is a bit “shaky”. A simple Google search of the author leads one on a metaphysical search for understanding one’s consciousness.

June 18, 2008

Another Polar Bear in Iceland Shot While on Vacation

Filed under: Climate Change — climatedonkey @ 9:07 pm
Tags: , ,

Just like 2 weeks ago, a stranded polar bear in Iceland was shot dead by authorities. The article states that the bear was threatening the journalists assembled to photograph the rare occurrence. So the police implemented security procedure numero uno: shoot the bear! I guess no one figured that the polar bear was indeed a wild animal and might act in an aggressive manner. Apparently not all of them are fuzzy, cute creatures like the baby German zoo bear Knute.

polar bear

Will there be any outrage from the leftist environmental / global warming kabal about these two shootings within just 2 weeks. I sincerely doubt it. The threat is not from big oil or climate change, but from onlookers who want to see nature — and then kill it.

June 17, 2008

Ozone hole recovery and climate change: An “unholy” alliance

ozone hole

A recent Science Magazine article concerning the Southern Hemisphere (SH) Ozone hole has received little attention in the news media considering it mentions “global climate change”. One must assume that if the new research is not trumpeted in the mainstream media or on the left-wing alarmist blogs, then it must be contrary to the template/agenda/talking points assembled during the past few years. I believe we have an instance of research that introduces “uncertainty” into the “debate” which is toxic to the media.

A couple example headlines from a Google News search:

Mending ozone hold to create more climate change worries?

Ozone threat to India

Computer models show major climate shift as a result of closing ozone hole

So, even from the headlines, there is implied uncertainty. The official Science Magazine press release or news item titled UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES has some key quotes that are worth discussing.

Healing Antarctica’s ozone hole has a possible downside

Via a complicated cascade of effects, a full recovery of the ozone hole over Antarctica in the coming years could significantly boost warming of the atmosphere over and around the icy continent….In one sense, however, the ozone hole is somewhat beneficial: It has kept Antarctica cooler than it otherwise would have been, says Seok-Woo Son, an atmospheric scientist at Columbia University.

So, the ozone hole was a Good Thing.
martha

It turns out that of the IPCC AR4 climate models, 9 out of 19 did not include the impacts of stratospheric ozone recovery in the climate change simulations/scenarios. In this upper part of the atmosphere near Antarctica, as indicated by the Columbia scientist, greenhouse gas warming as been largely mitigated by the presence of the ozone hole through atmospheric circulation impacts. Through including a competent ozone chemistry scheme into their climate model ensemble, it was discovered that the ozone hole recovery will have the related impacts:

Warming of the lower stratosphere would tend to slow the circumpolar westerlies but strengthen winds at lower latitudes, a combination that would significantly shift weather patterns…

This result indicates that the effect of ozone-induced warming overwhelms that of greenhouse induced cooling in the lower-stratospheric polar cap…(Science, p. 1488, Son et al.)

This can all be summarized as follows:

Above where we perceive weather, in the layer of atmosphere where only the tallest thunderstorms reach, a complex battle is taking place in the Southern Hemisphere. Carbon dioxide emissions and ozone molecules are allying in a battle to destroy the planet. However, they cannot seem to get their guns pointed away from each other. With this new research, considerable uncertainty exists in determining the exact impacts of ozone recovery + greenhouse gas emissions will have on the climate system. Uncertainty also means doubt. Is anyone out there “alarmed” that trillion dollar policy decisions are going to be made on global warming based upon climate change computer model scenarios that admittedly are missing such a huge component of the system (ozone). Time to fire up the air conditioners and start spewing freon to battle those greenhouse gases.

freon

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